Welcome to another edition of 2013 MLB Season Preview – Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy.
With the baseball season just a few weeks away, we’ll go through the roster of every MLB team and break it down from a daily fantasy baseball standpoint. Which players can help your team win, and which ones will you want to avoid in the first couple of weeks?
Let’s move on to the AL East division and take a look at the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles were a surprising playoff team last year, winning 93 games and finishing second in the division. They posted an unbelievable 29-9 record in one run games. They haven’t made any significant changes in their roster this offseason. Mark Reynolds left via free agency, but the Orioles have a rising star in Manny Machado set to replace him at third. It’s hard to predict how good the O’s are going to be this year, but I can’t see them repeating that one run games record. Nevertheless, the AL East is the most competitive division with all five teams looking to contend this year.
Chris Davis – 1B: Davis finally got a chance to play his first full season in 2012, after being a part time player since 2008, and took full advantage of the opportunity. He hit .270/.326/.501 last year with 33 HRs. Strikeouts are a big concern after his K/9 rate of 3.04 last year, but he shouldn’t be too expensive and his upside will be hard to pass up if the price is right.
Chris Tillman – SP: Tillman broke out last year after struggling since 2009, and he posted a 2.93 ERA in 15 starts last season. He will only be 25 in April and still has a lot of potential, so there is a good chance last season wasn’t a fluke. I expect him to start the season in lower salary tier because he is not an established name yet. If he can repeat last season’s success, he will be a very good daily fantasy play.
YOU SHOULD AVOID
Nick Markakis – RF: Markakis is probably one of the most surprising “avoids”. He is one of the most consistent hitters in the game with a .298/.363/.471 line last year, and a .295/.365/.455 career line. Despite those strong numbers, you shouldn’t play him in April as he has hit for .204 and .244 average the last two years. IF he starts slow again, he will be a very good play later in the season because you know he will get to his par numbers.
J.J. Hardy – SS: There is more than one reason why you should avoid Hardy in April. First, he had a down season last year hitting just .238/.282/.389. Also, he is a slow starter with a sub .200 average in the first month of the season over last two years. I wouldn’t play him early in the year for free.
Wei-Yin Chen – SP: Chen had a good, but not great, rookie season last year. He finished with 4.02 ERA in 32 starts, and his strikeout numbers were also solid with a 7.2 K/9 ratio. I don’t really know where his price is going to be, but I wouldn’t recommend playing him at least for his first couple starts. History has shown some Asian pitchers struggle in their second year, so Chen carries that risk. If he gets off to a solid start, he will become an interesting option down the road in good matchups.
PITCHER/HITTER MATCHUP TO WATCH
Matt Wieters – C: Wieters is one of the best young catchers in the game, but hasn’t yet developed into the complete hitter. He hit .249/.329/435 last year, and killed left handed pitchers the last two seasons posting averages around .330 with great power numbers. This makes him a great play vs. LHP starters. There is a chance his price will be higher than it should thanks to all the hype surrounding him, but not many hitters can hit lefties like he does.
Wilson Betemit – DH: Betemit is an “under the radar” type of player, and he managed to hit .261/.322/.422 last season. He is a switch hitter with much better results from the left side vs. RHP, over the last two seasons. He hit .303/.365/500 and .302/.357/.592 against righties in 2011 and 2012, respectively. His price should be pretty low, and that will make him a very sneaky play against a RHP starter.
IF THE PRICE IS RIGHT
Brian Roberts – 2B: Roberts was a great second baseman before various injuries sidelined him the last three years, and he only managed to play 115 games over that stretch. He appears to be healthy now, and could provide sneaky value if can stay on the field and find his old form.
Jason Hammel – SP: Hammel is coming off the best season of his career, posting a 3.43 ERA with a 8.6 K/9 in 20 starts. These numbers are by far his best, and I am not sure that he can repeat or even come close to these numbers in 2013. I think his salary will be high as a result of his strong year, and I wouldn’t pay more than middle tier price for him.
I hope you’ve enjoyed this Baltimore Orioles preview, and stay tuned for other 2013 MLB Season Previews. Also, don’t forget to check out our other articles at Daily Fantasy Radio.