Welcome to another edition of the 2013 Daily Fantasy Baseball Season Preview – Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy.
With the baseball season just a couple of months away, we’ll go through the roster of every MLB team and break it down from a daily fantasy baseball standpoint. Which players can help your teams win and which ones will you want to avoid in the first couple weeks?
The 4th NL East team we will take a look at are the New York Mets.
Not surprisingly, the biggest offseason move for the Mets was the R.A. Dickey trade. New York’s N.L. team wasn’t able to extend the knuckleballer whose previous contract would make him a free agent after this season, so they decided to trade the reigning Cy Young Award-winner to Toronto (along with Josh Thole) for catcher John Buck and two great prospects in Travis D’arnaud and Noah Syndergaard. The Mets then signed free agent Shawn Marcum to a one-year deal to take Dickey’s spot in the rotation.
David Wright – 3B – Wright had a down year in 2011 but bounced back nicely last season, hitting .306/.391/.492 with 21 HRs and 93 RBIs. He also started off with a bang, with his batting average in the first 20 games at .389. He is set to play in the WBC, but I don’t expect it to negatively affect him. He is definitely one of the stars I will try to get in my daily fantasy lineup in April.
Daniel Murphy – 2B – Murphy may not be considered a star, but he has been playing solid ball for the Mets over the last two seasons- last year he hit a respectable .291/.332/.402. While he lacks a plus power bat, Murphy does a lot of things that can help you win your daily fantasy games. The projected No. 2 hitter in the Mets lineup, Murphy will likely see a lot of at-bats, good pitches to hit, and opportunities to score while batting in front of Wright.
Jonathon Niese – SP – Niese managed to improve his ERA by a whole run, from 4.40 in 2011 to 3.40 last year. He started out well with 2.81 ERA in four starts in last April. Niese also strikes out more than seven hitters per nine innings. I expect him to start the season in the middle salary tier, and if he replicates his previous April success, he will definitely be a solid daily fantasy play.
Matt Harvey – SP – The young phenom was the second best prospect in baseball before the 2012 season. Called up in July, Harvey impressed in his ten big league starts, posting a 2.73 ERA and striking out 70 batters in 59.1 innings. At the back end of the Mets rotation, he’s in a position to win more ballgames against other teams’ fourth or fifth best pitchers, and his salary should be low enough to make him a great play.
YOU SHOULD AVOID
Ike Davis – 1B – Davis was injured for the majority of the 2011 season, a possible reason why his production slipped so dramatically in 2012. He struggled all season, hitting only .227/.308/.462 with 141 strikeouts over that span. Worse yet, his batting average was below the Mendoza line in April and May. His 32 HR and 90 RBIs are nothing to sneeze at, but he needs to show that kind of production potential before you can comfortably stick him in your daily lineup. Davis is simply a huge risk that can single-handedly ruin your team.
Lucas Duda – LF – Like Davis, Duda had a similarly down season in 2012, with a batting average that went dipped from .292 to .239. A broken wrist and the ensuing surgery in November makes him a risky lineup option until he gets back on track.
Ruben Tejada – SS – Tejada’s issues are completely different from Davis and Duda. He has been pretty consistent the last two seasons, hitting for a solid .287 average over that span. However, his problem is that batting average is the only statistic he can consistently give you. He has absolutely no power, yet he is not a base-stealing threat. Tejada hits leadoff and will score some runs for you, but that’s about it. I am sure there will be plenty of options with better upside around the same price range.
John Buck – C – Buck was traded two times this season, and honestly I can’t blame either team for getting rid of him. He signed a nice three-year contract after his career year in 2010 when he hit .281/.314/.489. Over the next two years, he proved 2010 was an outlier with his production regressing back to normal, hitting just .213/.308/.358. He still has some power and will give you the occasional extra-base hit, but you certainly don’t want a sub-.220 hitter in your lineup.
Johan Santana – SP – I have great respect for Santana, but injuries have really affected his career these past two seasons. He was forced to miss the entire 2011 season and then started only 21 games in 2012. While he did start the season well, his atrocious 15.63 ERA in five starts after July paved the way to another stint on the disabled list on August 21st. Part of me want to believe he can turn it around and be one of baseball’s better pitchers- the other part tells me he has to prove it first.
Hope you’ve enjoyed this New York Mets preview. Stay tuned for other MLB 2013 season previews, and don’t forget to check out our other articles on Daily Fantasy Radio!