Welcome to another edition of the 2013 Daily Fantasy Baseball Season Preview – Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy.
With the baseball season just a couple of months away, we’ll go through the roster of every MLB team and break it down from a daily fantasy baseball standpoint. Which players can help your teams win and which ones will you want to avoid in the first couple weeks?
The Philadelphia Phillies are the 3rd NL East team in our previews.
The Phillies have had an active offseason up to this point, having acquired Michael Young from Texas and young talented center fielder Ben Revere from the Twins. They’ve also signed some key free agents in Delmon Young, Mike Adams and John Lannan. This team battled numerous injuries last year and will be looking to improve on that 81-81 record this season.
Michael Young – 3B – The veteran third baseman still has a lot left in the tank. Young left Texas after having spent his entire thirteen-year career with the Rangers. He had a down season last year and still managed to hit .277/.312/.370. He hits LHP particularly well, with an impressive .333 average last season and an even better .361 average in 2011. Just as important, Young is a fast starter, batting over .320 the last two Aprils. Pick him up undervalued and he’ll be a good play.
Ben Revere – CF – A young, exciting center fielder with loads of speed, Revere took a big leap forward from 2011 to 2012. Though he has no power, he will help you in other areas: he stole 74 bases over the last 2 seasons; he hit a decent .294/.333/.342 in 2012; and he doesn’t hurt you with strikeouts, having averaged only one out of every ten ABs over last two seasons.
Cliff Lee – SP – The 2008 Cy Young-winner won only six games in 2012, but his 3.16 ERA in 30 starts suggests that win total was a result of poor run support rather than poor performance. The lefty also posted a solid 8.8 K/9. You may have to pay a premium for him, but his consistency outweighs the risk and that may be a good choice for the daily pitching position.
Cole Hamels – SP – Similar to Lee, Hamels is another consistent lefty with an ERA over the last three seasons that hasn’t gone above 3.06 and an 8.7 K/9 over that span. His price should be even higher than Lee’s, but for that kind of money you know what kind of production to expect from him.
YOU SHOULD AVOID
Chase Utley – 2B – Utley is one of many Phillies stars battling injuries. He played only 301 games over the last three years and his production seems to have fallen because of it- the last three years were his worst since 2005 as he hit only .264/.367/.433 over that span as opposed to .301/.388/.535 from ’05 to ’09. He still has a good eye and can be a solid hitter when healthy, but I would like to see him get back into form before putting him into my daily lineup.
Ryan Howard – 1B – Howard unfortunately tore his Achilles tendon on the final game of the 2011 season, forcing him to miss the entire first half of last year. He still managed to hit 14 HR in 71 games but hit only .219/.295/.423 compared to .253/.346/.488 in 2011. While I think he can improve his numbers this season, like Utley he needs to show some improvement before I can trust him.
Delmon Young – RF – Young is questionable for the start of the season as he is recovering from ankle surgery. Even if he recovers in time for spring, he is not a good play in April because of his history as a slow starter. April is one of his worst months in each of last three seasons, and there is nothing to suggest that will change this year, on top of the surgery rehab. He can be a player to target once he gets it going later in the season, especially against LHP, but for now stay away.
Roy Halladay – SP – Doc had his worst season since 2000 last year (his 4.46 ERA nearly doubled that of 2011), but part of the reason was a shoulder injury that forced him to miss around six weeks in June and July. I don’t expect his price to be low enough to consider him a good play at the start of the season, so similar to Utley and Howard, I would avoid Halladay until he shows he can be the great pitcher we all know.
Kyle Kendrick –SP – Kendrick is a solid No. 4 or No. 5 starter in this league, but he is a player to wait on while the weather gets warmer. April is by far his worst month in two of the past three seasons. With his relatively modest 6.6 K/9 last season and under 5.0 two years prior, there is absolutely no reason to consider playing him in April.
PITCHER/HITTER MATCHUP TO WATCH / IF THE PRICE IS RIGHT
Jimmy Rollins –SS – Rollins fits both of the above categories. He was one of the best shortstops in the league for many years- his 2007 MVP award confirms that- but he hasn’t been the same the last three years, hitting a pedestrian .255/.325/.405 over that span. However, his splits were much better against righties last season, and if you can get him for a discounted price against a right-handed starter, he may be a good sneaky play.
Carlos Ruiz –C– Ruiz had a career year in 2012, hitting .325/.394/.540, but he isn’t under any regular category after receiving a 25-game suspension for testing positive for an amphetamine. He isn’t eligible to return until April 28th against the Mets. I have no idea how the suspension or the substance has affected him, but if his price drops low enough he can be a high risk/high reward kind of play in daily fantasy.
I hope you’ve enjoyed this Philadelphia Phillies preview. Stay tuned for other MLB 2013 season previews coming soon, and don’t forget to check out our other articles here at Daily Fantasy Radio!