I won my $109 Qualifier to the Fantasy Millionaire at DraftKings this weekend! Special shout out to CrazyGabey for some last minute daily fantasy football lineup intel. It wasn’t without it’s stressful, if not borderline ridiculous moments that kept me on the edge of my seat. All of my daily fantasy football players players played at 1pm/EST, and almost every player had a great game ( McCown-25.2, AP-26.1, Donald Brown- 14.4, Michael Floyd- 20.9, Alshon Jeffery- 51.9!!, Gronk- 27.7, and Vereen-18.5. My kicker and defense combined for 9 points). I was left with a lead of around 50 points over the players in 2nd-4th, and nearly 100 over everyone else.
As long as nobody had a monster outing during the late games I figured I would cruise to victory.
No such luck.
As I was watching in my rear view mirror, I noticed “Broccoli” had 3 entries, and one was within 50 points at halftime, with 4 players remaining. I didn’t think much of it, because it would certainly take a miracle to come back from that far down. I was watching the Bengals/Chargers game, and every time they cut to highlights it was Eric Decker in the end zone. I checked back to my daily fantasy football scores, and to my dismay I saw that Broccoli’s 3rd entry had Decker. Of course he did. Now at this point it is late in the third quarter, and Decker had just scored his third TD of the game. The lead was down to 31. Not 10 minutes later, I checked the score to see that Moreno had just been stopped at the 1 yard-line. Surely Peyton Manning wouldn’t throw a fade to Decker here, but somehow I knew it was coming. Touchdown. The lead was down to 24. Then, to add insult to injury, Andy Dalton miraculously threw a TD pass–to AJ Green. I knew he had Green, but I had no idea he had Dalton as well. Just like that, the lead was down to 11.7 After that, it was a combination of cheering against my own team (screaming) and drinking my beer with reckless abandon. Dalton then hit Green again for a 28 yard gain. Down to 6.6.
At this point, all I wanted was for the games to end. NOW. I didn’t even care if my beloved Bengals won. Screw them, this was bigger than them, it was daily fantasy football! Hell, I already despise Andy Dalton, and I’ll be damned if the arm that costs the Bengals multiple games each season will be the one that takes me out. The Bengals began to run out the clock, and I knew I was safe from there on out. Kansas City had just cut the lead to 7. Great, I thought, here comes Decker. Sure enough, second play of the drive: BOOM. Decker for 18 yards. Now my lead was 3.8, and I knew that any one play could sink me. Denver finally stalled out and punted. Now for Denver’s defense to make a stop. Kansas City got the ball back with 3:32 on the clock. I knew that if the Chiefs didn’t tie the game here, Decker wouldn’t see the ball again and I was home free. 3rd and 14 from their own 4 yard line, “YES! The ticket is mine!” I thought. WRONG. Alex Smith made the only downfield throw I’ve ever seen him attempt to 49ers castaway A.J. Jenkins for a 26-yard gain. Shit. Two plays later, Dexter McCluster caught a deep one for 28 more. Then Dwayne Bowe for 23 more. They are in the red zone. Damnit. What a way to lose. Decker is going to score with 10 seconds left to cap the greatest receiving day we’ve seen in my lifetime.
Then it happened.
Alex Smith became…Alex Smith. The pressure got to him, and he overthrew Dwayne Bowe on 4th down at the 13. Effin A! What are the odds that the short pass is the one Smith can’t complete? How ironic. But hell, I love him for it. If I win a million dollars, I’ll send him a thank you card. And maybe congratulate Eric Decker on his day (but probably not). With all of that being said, the qualifier wasn’t the only daily fantasy football success of the week. I cashed two different entries in GPP tournaments, with very similar daily fantasy football lineups (one of which had Jeffery AND Josh Gordon), as well as 3 out of 4 double up tournaments. I also had two cashes in the Quarter Arcade, but I think the $2 I won is more of a pride thing at this point. I capped it all off with winning a freeroll at FanThrowdown, as well as a 5th place finish in a 50-man triple up. This was one hell of a weekend for me in daily fantasy football.
I can’t wait to begin this next one.
QB: Josh McCown/Jay Cutler vs Dallas. I don’t really care which one of them starts this game, I’ll go Team QB style on this one. The Dallas secondary is likely to be destroyed by either gunslinger. I’m hoping Cutler can’t go, because McCown is cheaper, and I can save some cash for elsewhere.
QB- Alex Smith @ Washington. Yes, Alex Smith. The guy who is good enough to win most games, but not really good enough to win most games. Makes sense, right? Moving on. Smith has at least 25 fantasy points in 4 of his last 5 games, and faces a pathetic Redskins defense that can’t stop anyone aside from Eli Manning. Smith should be a step down in salary from the elite options this week (none of whom I’ll be targeting, except maybe Peyton).
RB- Matt Forte vs Dallas. Dallas allows the most points to opposing running backs this season, and Forte trails only Jamaal Charles for most points by running backs this season. Matchups don’t get any juicier than this one. He’ll be expensive, but you can rely on him for consistent points, and the potential for a huge day.
RB- CJ Spiller @ Tampa Bay. The Bucs have allowed 5.0 YPC over the past three weeks, and considering those numbers came against Atlanta, Detroit, and Carolina, none of whom are consistent rushing attacks, Spiller could be in for a big day. He’s the type of guy who could make your week with one touch, and should be a good value play with a ton of upside.
WR- Josh Gordon @ New England. The Browns will throw the ball a lot because their running game is non-existent. Gordon has topped 125 yards in four of his last five games. He is the top option, and we know the Browns will be playing catch-up. I won’t be the guy who wouldn’t pay up for Gordon this week. He’ll be all over my rosters.
WR- Michael Floyd vs St. Louis. Another guy who is absolutely on fire, and I won’t be looking past him until he cools off. He is averaging 6/132/0.7 over the past three weeks, and was ridiculously cheap last week. Certainly his price will rise, but there is a ton of value here.
TE- Rob Gronkowski vs Cleveland. A touchdown in 4 straight games and the top target in the red zone for a hot Patriots offense. The Brownies allowed the JAGUARS to score 32 points on them last week, including scores to TEs Clay Harbor and Mercedes Lewis. Gronk should continue to dominate this week. My favorite play overall.
TE- I likely won’t be playing any other TEs this week. The dropoff after Jimmy Graham and Gronk is immense. I’m not going to let it cost me the way it nearly did last week.
D/ST- Bengals vs Indianapolis. The Bengals D/ST has scored at least 10 fantasy points in every single game played at Paul Brown Stadium. As unreliable of an attack as this Colts offense has been, they could easily continue that trend. The Bengals also have 2 D/ST touchdowns in EACH of their past two home games. This is an enormous matchup in the AFC playoff picture, and the Bengals know they can’t rely on Andy Dalton each week. The defense gets it done.
D/ST- Cardinals vs St. Louis. Another defense that is money at home. Kellen Clemens has been adequate, but never spectacular. I like the Cardinals as a decent option this week.
I’m looking forward to another successful week in daily fantasy football as I work toward my big tournament on the 22nd. My strategy seems to have come to a near complete science, and I’ll be looking to tweak any details necessary this week in order to make it even better!
I started off shooting up the leaderboard in the 50K Hail Mary on DraftKings, only to slowly fall when all of my players finished around 7:30/EST. As of Monday afternoon, I was still in the money, anticipating that I would cash, and finish off a strong week. Lo and behold, one of my favorite QB plays of the week, Colin Kaepernick, who I had in around 40% of my lineups, was the main reason for my demise on Monday Night Football. He boosted a few of my double up matches, pushing me into the upper half, but at the same time, he bumped me out of the money by just a few points in my daily fantasy football lineups that didn’t feature him. At the end of the day, I realized that I couldn’t have it all. I did end up winning all but one of my double-ups, and didn’t play any head-to-heads this week. Overall, it was a solid week, but a cash in the Hail Mary would have been a great cap. Some hits and misses for me this week: I had Jamaal Charles on the majority of my teams, and he certainly did not disappoint. I relied far too much on Victor Cruz, using him in every lineup as my top WR play, and also the most expensive. If anyone has seen Jerricho Cotchery, can you let him know that he made me look like an asshole this week? I only saw part of the game, but I’m pretty sure that Antonio Brown was wearing 86 AND 89. Chris Ogbonnaya was a cheap play that I inserted late, but the Browns/Steelers game looked more like it has in recent years than I expected. The Brownies looked lost, and Ogbonnaya was hardly relevant at all in their stagnant offense. Coby Fleener was a nice play, mostly as a result of his late, meaningless score in what was the abomination that the Colts called a football game. Coming into this week, I thought the Jets were the most Jekyll and Hyde team, but it is becoming more evident that the Colts now hold that distinction. They have looked just plain awful in all aspects of the game recently. This is a team that many considered to be a legitimate threat in the AFC. Well, I can say with certainty that I’m not only off the bandwagon, but running as far away as I can. Andrew Luck may be poised at the end of games, but he looks like Joe Flacco (non-2012 playoffs) for at least two quarters each week.
I’m proud to say that I didn’t play a single daily fantasy football lineup that bombed this week, which is something I’ve never been able to say with a straight face. I went with a lot of safe daily fantasy football plays. Even with the ghosts that were Victor Cruz and Jerricho Cotchery I was still able to keep my head above water. I did manage to procure a $109 Millionaire Grand Final Qualifier ticket this week from referrals, so I’ll be focusing on taking advantage of that opportunity, and looking forward for the potential to play for $1 Million. Stay tuned for more daily fantasy football misery.
There are a lot of good daily fantasy football options this week, and that is what scares me. I’ll focus on finding the safest daily fantasy football plays with high upside, and hope to get a little but lucky in the process. Here we go.
QB- Josh McCown. Minnesota’s defense is just plain awful. I know this isn’t groundbreaking news for anyone, but I can’t say it enough. I’m playing any QB facing the Vikings for as long as I live, or at least until the end of the season. McCown has been tremendous since taking over for Jay Cutler. Not a ton of upside, but a solid play that should score you a solid 17-20 points at a reduced tag.
QB- Carson Palmer. I hate the guy, I really do, but Philly’s defense isn’t scaring anyone. Palmer has the Cardinals in position to make a run at the postseason to boot. He is starting to gel nicely with his receivers, and I look for him to have a big game this week.
RB- Chris Johnson. Last time out, CJ2K had his way with the Colts “defense” to the tune of 2 scores in the first half before being basically removed from the offensive gameplan in the second. A puzzling decision to say the least, but anyone can see that CJ2K has a significant advantage over this Colts front seven.
RB- Matt Forte. Forte (assuming he is healthy) will be my top play this week. Eddie Lacy destroyed this defense last week, and Forte is a different kind of monster. Any questions, just refer back to McCown, Josh.
WR- Josh Gordon. He just goes out and gets it. Plain and simple. He may be the only Browns player in my lifetime who can produce by himself, which is not an easy task for a WR. He should be a popular play around the industry this week, and I won’t be one of the few who are missing out.
WR- Michael Floyd. He is becoming the most reliable target in this offense, because Larry Fitzgerald is often double-covered. Floyd has broken the century mark in back-to-back weeks, and we all know the Cardinals don’t like running the ball. When at all possible, they throw. And when they are done throwing, they throw some more. Floyd should see plenty of targets this week.
TE- Rob Gronkowski. Gronk is truly a man among boys when he gets the ball, as made evident by him dragging three defenders into the end zone two weeks back. Brady is finally rounding into his old form with all of his targets back and healthy, and Gronk is his biggest weapon.
TE- Coby Fleener. As I alluded to earlier, I don’t trust Andrew Luck. At all. But I do trust Fleener to get his. He is a terrific talent, and he mauled this secondary two weeks ago during his coming out party to the tune of 8 catches for 107 yards.
D/ST- Dolphins. We’ve all seen what Geno Smith is capable of. I’m just not sure what it is. The Dolphins should eat him alive this week.
Good luck. Hopefully I’ll be playing some of you for that cool million in a few weeks.
There are a plethora of options available to daily fantasy basketball players, and choosing the correct site for your play can be just as critical as choosing the correct players in your daily fantasy basketball lineups! Joining CrazyGabey on this daily fantasy basketball podcast is Chris “InsiderFantasy1” Kay. Chris is the owner of InsiderFantasy, and his work is also featured at LuDawgs. He’s a beloved and respected member of the daily fantasy sports community, and someone who has been around the block. He’s spent many hours playing on each of the major sites in the daily fantasy basketball industry. Let Gabey and Chris help you choose which fantasy basketball site is right for your style with this fantasy basketball podcast!
The fantasy basketball podcast starts off with a detailed look at FanDuel fantasy basketball. It’s an extremely large site, and in terms of sheer numbers, it is the frontrunner in the industry. Their non-customizable options may not appeal to the seasoned fantasy veteran, but they offer the chance to play against the widest range of skill levels. Both experts agree that DraftKings fantasy basketball offers a more comprehensive experience, but also features a higher concentration of skilled players. DraftStreet meets somewhere in the middle, and offers a unique qualifier that from time-to-time makes it an extremely profitable site to target for daily fantasy basketball. DraftDay fantasy basketball is next up on the docket, and the two agree that it earns its stripes by offering the most varied and creative selection of games for players to choose from. FanThrowdown is the newest site of the bunch, but they’ve made major strides in the past few months to not only address player concerns, but also to increase their legitimacy in the industry. They are quickly becoming a fan favorite. Rounding out the fantasy basketball podcast is StarStreet fantasy basketball. It’s creatively helmed by top daily fantasy minds, and it shows in the site’s clean, easy to use interface that allows players to enter multiple lineups quickly.
I had a daily fantasy football lineup that I played only in double ups that scored nearly 175 points. It beat each player in those games by 40 points, and would have certainly been good for some big cash in GPPs. Unfortunately, I didn’t play that lineup in any large tournaments. Needless to say, I cashed most of my double up matchups, so it was still a good week overall. I can’t stop thinking about what could have been with that daily fantasy football lineup. The lineup included studs like RGIII, Antonio Brown, Calvin Johnson, and the Bengals D. It was my best daily fantasy football lineup to date, and moving forward, I’ll be making sure that each and every lineup I make is inserted in at least one GPP tournament so that I don’t cheat myself out of a big payday again. As the daily fantasy football season rounds into the final stretch, I feel that I am getting closer to perfecting my lineups. Now I need to just make sure that I play them in the right spots at the right times. Winning a majority of double up and H2H matches is nice, but I’m looking for a bigger score this week. My goal is to cash in multiple GPP tournaments, and in order to do so, I will be playing a few more lineups in big tournaments in lieu of one or two of my H2H and double ups. The season is almost 75% through, and I have yet to make my mark by taking down a big tournament. I’ll be looking more in depth this week, and spending much more time tinkering with my daily fantasy football lineups in order to make sure I get every player I want in each lineup. I’ll be looking to find some great daily fantasy football combos as well, and I’ll get to that in a minute. Here are some guys I’m looking to fit in everywhere I can, and why.
QB- Eli Manning. Go ahead and laugh at this daily fantasy football play all you want, but I’ll be targeting little brother for some of my GPP lineups for a few reasons. First off, the Cowboys defense is bad. Really, really bad. The Giants are suddenly rejuvenated, and now that they have found some balance in their offense with Andre Brown running the ball effectively. Manning will have chances to throw the ball down the field against the worst pass defense in the league. Don’t get me wrong, I am not an Eli fan this year, and he hasn’t had more than one touchdown pass in a game since Week 5. But if I’m looking deep for someone that nobody else will be looking at, it’s Eli. Big upside here if you ask me.
QB- Colin Kaepernick. Another guy that I don’t think many people will be looking for, he also has an incredible matchup with a bad defense. The Redskins are near the bottom in pass defense, and while Kaep has struggled to find a rhythm in his game, he won’t find a better time than this week to rectify his shoddy work over the past month. I’m looking for him to find some rapport with Mario Manningham this week, as opposed to only looking for Vernon Davis as it seems he has been doing all year. He is also an asset to a daily fantasy football team because of his ability to run the ball effectively.
RB- Ben Tate. He finally seems to be near 100 percent healthy following his rib injury, and matchups don’t get any better than this. He should get plenty of touches this week, as it seems that Kubiak is pulling in the reins a little bit on Case Keenum. I’m looking for Tate to get off to a good start, and in a game I believe Houston should dominate I’m expecting him to put it away at the end. I think he has a huge game.
RB- Chris Ivory. A guy that I’ll be looking at in many of my GPP matchups, because his price is perfect for a guy who could see 20 touches. He has been the feature back in New York for a few weeks now, and he has the ability to break one at any time. If Haloti Ngata is still out, he might have an even bigger game. He should be a great middle of the road daily fantasy football option this week.
WR- Victor Cruz. Cruz has struggled as of late, and a lot of that is due to Eli Manning’s struggles under center. But this is a huge game for the G-Men if they want to contend in that pathetic division, and Cruz has played well against the Cowboys in the past. It may seem like ancient history, but if Cruz wants to be featured in a Time Warner commercial again he’d better start playing like he did in Week 1 against Dallas.
WR- Demariyus Thomas. As we all saw last week on Monday Night Football, the Patriots aren’t a great tackling team. Thomas is one of the best, if not the best at shedding tacklers. This combination could make for a huge night for Peyton’s top target. The best thing about Thomas is that he is a threat in the short passing game, just as much as in the downfield game. He can hurt you any number of ways.
WR- Jerricho Cotchery. Five scores in the past three weeks, and Antonio Brown will be matched up with Joe Haden. Cheap. That’s all I need to know.
TE- Coby Fleener. Arizona is the worst in the league against opposing TEs this year. Fleener has emerged as one of the main threats in the Indianapolis offense, and given his history with Luck at Stanford, it will only get better from here.
TE- Delanie Walker. I actually wish I could start both of these guys in lieu of one WR this week. Ryan Fitzpatrick is in love with this guy, and he caught all 10 targets last week. The Raiders allowed Garrett Graham to run all over them last week to the tune of 136 yards and a score. Walker is more talented in my book, and could replicate that performance on Sunday.
D/ST- There are no matchups that I love this week. I’ll likely roll with a cheap option in order to save salary for the rest of my daily fantasy football lineups.
I had a solid play at each position (aside from TE) who put together great days, including Drew Brees’ 392 yards and 4 scores, AJ Green’s 151 yards and a score (albeit a miracle score), Reggie Bush the Bengals defense holding Baltimore under 200 total yards in 4 plus quarters, Reggie Bush topping 100 yards, and Zac Stacy finding the end zone despite only 62 rushing yards. Each of these plays was solid for my daily fantasy football contests, yet not spectacular, and in what was the lowest scoring week for DFS lineups that I’ve seen since beginning my journey in week 2, these numbers were not good enough in many leagues. If you were one of the people to be fortunate enough to have pulled Demariyus Thomas’ name out of the proverbial hat that is the Denver receiving carousel, then you were likely one of the players who cashed a lot of games. In a year where I have seen daily fantasy football scores of 150+ not find the money, this week anything north of 120 was almost certain to cash in most formats. These weeks are hard to prepare for, because outside of Marshawn Lynch, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Brandon Marshall, or Thomas, there weren’t many players who had huge games. And if you somehow had a majority of them, congratulations. I was not that fortunate. These past few weeks have proven difficult for me, and I’m once again looking to change gears. This week I’m going to focus on starting only elite QB options, as well as daily fantasy football players who are targeted most often in their respective offenses. This doesn’t only include the top daily fantasy football option on each team, but I’m looking to find not only value, but opportunity. Players who are only being targeted a few times per game are not going to be found on my rosters this week, aside from a few sneaky RB plays. I’ll be focusing on consistency and maximizing each opportunity that my players can find. There is one thing that you cannot live without in DFS, and that is a top-scoring QB. If your QB is not finishing top ten in scoring, you can kiss your chances of cashing a daily fantasy football GPP goodbye, as well as making double ups and H2H matchups difficult as well. I’m moving from sit down restaurant to fine dining this week. Goodbye Tony Romo, hello Peyton Manning. No more scrubs for me. I’m looking at you, Andy Dalton. In order to make everyone fit in my daily fantasy football salary cap, I’ll be posting my top play as well as one or two other lower salary guys I’ll be looking at this week.
QB- Drew Brees: Brees is the model of daily fantasy football consistency in my book. I know he had an off week against the Jets, but I can’t imagine many more days like that one, even against a solid 49ers defense. Don’t be fooled by name recognition, this is not last year’s team. Yes, they are still a good defense, but the Saints offense is just better. Better than just about anyone. I’ll be playing Brees with confidence. All over the place. You get the picture.
QB- Russell Wilson: I know what you’re thinking. I literally JUST said that I needed to have a top scoring QB on my roster if I want to be successful. Do I think Russell Wilson is elite? No. Do I think the Vikings pass defense is the opposite of elite? YES. I’m going to be looking long and hard at any QB facing this defense from here on out. Wilson is smart, doesn’t make many bad decisions, and has been passing a lot more at the goal line than he did earlier this season and last year. I look for him to have a big game.
I’m sure you noticed that I didn’t include Peyton Manning. It’s not that I’ll be avoiding him in my daily fantasy football contests, but I have more faith in the Chiefs defense than many others do. In yearly leagues, ESPN has them projected for -2 points. Yes, that is NEGATIVE 2. Manning and company are good, but so is this defense. The Chargers held Manning and his prolific attack to 28 points last week. He also is playing on two sore ankles, and is nowhere near 100 percent. I look for the Chiefs to get after him early and often, and with his lack of mobility, if the Chiefs can make tackles in the open field, they can make this a game.
RB- Adrian Peterson: What more needs to be said about All Day that hasn’t been said before? He is the best in the game, and I don’t think it is close. Throw in the fact that Seattle gave up over 170 rushing yards in back to back weeks against the Rams and Buccaneers, both of whom started rookie backs in those games,. I can’t imagine AP going for less than 120 this week. Yes, the Seahawks only allowed 49 rushing yards to Atlanta last week, but there are high school teams who run the ball better than the Falcons. Their running game is an absolute embarrassment.
RB- Andre Brown: What he did last week in his first action back from an injury was nothing short of spectacular. He now has the privilege of facing a weak Packers run defense, which has allowed big numbers to backs over the past two weeks ever since Aaron Rodgers went down. Coincidence? I think not. The Packers can no longer control the game, chewing up big chunks of clock with Rodgers under center. This defense is average at best. They are being exploited now in a big way. I absolutely love Brown this week…so use him with caution.
WR- Andre Johnson: During the past two games with Case Keenum under center, Johnson has more than overpowered the competition to the tune of FIVE touchdowns, good for 8.2% of his CAREER total. That in itself is astonishing. I know he was held to 37 yards last week, but he now faces an Oakland defense that allowed Nick Foles to look like Peyton Manning. This defense has more holes to exploit than the Kardashians. If that is possible. Johnson will be my main target this week, and I’ll certainly be paying a hefty price.
WR- Golden Tate: 14 catches and three scores over the past three weeks, and now facing this Vikings ”defense”, if you can call it that with a straight face. As I alluded to earlier, I think Wilson is in for a big daily fantasy football game, and Tate will be his top target. You should be able to get Tate at a cheaper tag than the elite guys, and I think his upside this week is huge, even if Percy Harvin comes back. I expect that Tate will go out and steal a touchdown the way he stole donuts his rookie year, and stole that game from the Packers last season.
WR- Riley Cooper: Not a sneaky play at all, but he still won’t even be the most expensive WR on his own team. Nick Foles loves this guy (probably because Foles is white, and not threatened by him), and although I have little faith in Foles’ accuracy (just take a look at throws to Cooper last week. AWFUL.), he will be targeting Cooper the way that Cooper targeted an entire race: publicly and often. Five scores in the past two weeks, and not to beat a dead horse, but the Redskins defense is offensive to all five senses. And Native Americans.
TE- Jordan Cameron: Cameron looked like a different Jordan the way he dominated this defense in the last meeting, and I anticipate more of the same. The Bengals are actually tremendous against TEs, but the way he gashed them last time, I’ll bite on Cameron until the Bengals prove they can slow him down. I’m not sure if he will be a popular play, but if players are looking at defense vs TE stats, he will likely be under-owned.
TE- Vernon Davis: Last time Davis played the Saints, he was pretty good. OK, he was very good. While I wouldn’t expect 180 yards and two scores, I would expect him to play with the energy and passion that has been lacking at times. When the stakes are high, Davis finally shows up. If he is crying at the end of the game, you’ve probably done well.
D/ST- Cardinals: A hot defense matched up with the Jags. Any questions?
D/ST- Chiefs: I think this is a very sneaky play this week. All it will take is to force Manning into a few mistakes, maybe run one back, and you’re in the money. I’m big on them this week, and you probably won’t see them cheaper the rest of the year. We’ll see who wins this debate on Monday, ESPN.
I am so pumped for this week, not because I can’t wait to see if Richie Incognito is just a misunderstood douchebag, or if the Chiefs will show up in their biggest regular season game in years. Because I have a ton of confidence in my strategy this week, and I am looking to exploit under-owned players, while also making certain I pony up the cash for some elite players.
Daily Fantasy Radio is back in session, and this edition’s special guest, LoughyD333, is a well respected member of the daily fantasy sports community. His work can be found at TheFakeBasketball and TheFantasyBums, and he’s one of the most accurate and affable voices within the twitterverse.
The boys kick things off with an examination of short slate NBA play. An often-debated topic, Gabey and Loughy eventually settle on the same opinion when it comes to profiting on these tricky evenings. You can make cash, but you’ll need to take special precautions before releasing your action.
The two then move the fantasy basketball podcast along to discussing the merits of using certain daily fantasy sites’ late swap feature as a tournament weapon. Loughy has a bit of reservation when it comes to Gabey’s namesake approach, but after further discussion the two come to an agreeance on the appropriate circumstances for deploying such a bold tactic. One thing is for certain — there’s money to be made with these advanced tips!
Moving along to the final topic of the fantasy basketball podcast, Gabey offers up the notion of fading fading players. No it’s not a riddle, but actually a carefully thought out strategy for targeting low-owned assets in high-yield tournaments. Once again the two discuss which variables come into play when a skilled player is faced with such a decision, eventually settling on a rough criteria for making the move.
As a bonus while closing out the fantasy basketball podcast, Gabey and Loughy engage in a spirited back and forth espousing the virtues of riding the hot hand on daily fantasy rosters. Hilarity ensues as the two ride the fantasy basketball podcast into the sunset.
I’ve even gone out of my way to choose players who I consider safe plays for one-week fantasy football, but nobody can predict injuries. I’ve just been the unfortunate benefactor of at least one first quarter QB injury in each of the past three weeks. Is it too much to ask for these guys to get hurt in the third quarter? The funny thing was that I posted on Twitter about knowing that Rodgers was going to go down, obviously in jest, and had someone ask me how I knew. REALLY? Obviously it was a sarcastic comment. C’MON MAN! People never cease to amaze me. By this point, I consider my one-week fantasy football strategy and lineups to be pretty solid for the most part, but this past week went south quickly on Monday night when Aaron Rodgers was felled. Nearly 75% of my one-week fantasy football lineups not only included Rodgers, but Jordy Nelson as well. When Rodgers went down so did any chance of Nelson having a big night. I was banking big time on those two, as well as Eddie Lacy, to carry me to a late victory. Fortunately Lacy came through in a big way. He saved me in a few of my double ups, while I finished outside the money in all my GPP tournaments. Guys such as Kenny Stills, Terrance Williams, and DeMarco Murray were virtually non-existent. It was a week where the big names finally resurfaced, with Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson coming back in a major way. I think that Christian Ponder is huge for Peterson, not even because he is a barely above average QB, which Matt Cassel is not, and Josh Freeman obviously isn’t, but because he knows the offense. It has been frustrating rostering guys like AP and Marshawn Lynch in one-week fantasy football because their offenses seem to be focusing more on the pass. I just don’t understand why. Marshawn Lynch wasn’t even given a chance at the goal line in the fourth quarter, while Russell Wilson promptly threw an interception. I already miss the Chiefs defense, and the week hasn’t even begun yet. I love having them as an option, but for one week, I’ll have to find the next team to join the pick six parade.
One thing I do know is that I would have experienced much less success so far as if it wasn’t for the DFR Insider one-week fantasy football draft kits. These kits are pure gold, and assembled by the top experts that slave away all week scouring the salary caps of the biggest daily fantasy football websites. Try one for week 10 and I promise you won’t be disappointed.
This week, I’m going to focus my time targeting guys who I know will produce for one-week fantasy football, rather than digging deep and trying to find the needle in a haystack. While that strategy has worked to some extent, I’ll be playing mostly head-to-head and double-up one-week fantasy football contests this weekend. I need players that I know can keep me afloat. Here’s hoping I can avoid the four-peat of QB injuries this week. With that being said, I’ll certainly avoid using one QB across most of my one-week fantasy football lineups. It’s time to spread the wealth. Here are my guys for the week. I’m anticipating a torn ACL or two just in case.
Drew Brees vs DAL - Brees is obviously my top play, as the Cowboys are the worst in the NFL against opposing QBs. Brees is coming off an uncharacteristic week in which he looked scared and lost at times. I can’t imagine him having a second week in a row on the run, especially against this Cowboys secondary. I know Peyton Manning is back this week, but I’m going Brees as my top target. That means he will likely throw an interception on the first series, and then be knocked out with an injury making a tackle on the play. Proceed with caution.
Philip Rivers vs DEN - Rivers is averaging over 330 yards per game over his past five, and is facing a Broncos defense that has allowed opposing QBs to throw for 8 TDs and 734 yards in their past two road games. Rivers has been the model of consistency this season, and seems to have finally emerged as a reliable player week in and week out.
Zac Stacy @ IND - I love this kid. It’s becoming more than a man crush at this point. I feel like I NEED him (in my lineups) each week. He ran all over the Seahawks and Titans the past two weekends, and both were top-10 defenses against the run at the time. He is the real deal, and you’ll be hard pressed to find one of my lineups that doesn’t include him. This of course means that you should avoid him at all costs, because he will probably eat some bad Chinese food on Saturday night, try to give it a go, and then get pulled after his second carry of the day.
Reggie Bush @ CHI - This Bears defense is just plain awful against the run right now, there’s no two ways about it. They have given up over 400 yards and SEVEN scores to opposing backs over the past three games. I know that Bush isn’t a power runner like Eddie Lacy, but when you add in the points per reception aspect of daily fantasy sports Bush could be the top play of the week. Pierre Thomas GASHED this defense to the tune of 9 grabs and two scores a few weeks ago. Pierre Thomas is not Reggie Bush. I can’t wait to watch this matchup.
Keenan Allen vs DEN - I’m not the only person who is obsessed with this guy. CrazyGabey may actually be in love with him, and for good reason. This kid is a stud. He is the most reliable receiver on an incredibly underrated offense. As I mentioned before, the Denver defense is bad. They have allowed AT LEAST 215 yards to opposing WRs in five out of eight games so far. Sign me up.
AJ Green @ BAL - Last season, this matchup may have been worrisome. The Ravens have allowed at least 200 yards to opposing WRs in two of the last three games, and they were against Cleveland, Miami, and Green Bay. Aside from the Packers, who were missing two of their top three wideouts for the game, they didn’t face a single elite WR during that embarrassing stretch. Green will get his in a game that is huge for Cincinnati.
Jimmy Graham vs DAL - Do I need to elaborate? Terrible pass defense against the best TE in the game. This will be no contest. Graham could have a huge game in his sleep. I already feel bad for these guys.
Greg Olsen @ SF - This guy seems to be good for a score nearly every week. His price is always decent, and his upside is high. Carolina will likely struggle to run the ball, and Olsen is the most reliable pass catcher in this offense. This is about as deep as I’ll dig at TE.
Bengals @ BAL - Call me a homer all you want, but this Baltimore offense is a mess. They can’t run the ball, seem to only be able to pass once they have dug themselves a hole, and Joe Flacco is one of the least reliable QBs in the game. The loss of Geno Atkins will hurt in the long run, but not this week. I think the Bengals make life hell for an offense that doesn’t even seem capable of helping themselves.
Bills @ PIT - This isn’t an elite defense by any means, but the Steelers offense is anything but intimidating. The Chiefs didn’t score an offensive touchdown against this team last week, and the Steelers have struggled to find any rhythm on offense this year. I like the Bills to step up this week in a big way.
If I can make enough references to avoiding big injuries, I like my chances of un-jinxing myself. So, once again, don’t play any of the guys mentioned above, because they will likely all get carried off on stretchers by the end of the second series. With that being said, I love Chargers players this week in case you hadn’t noticed. I also will be avoiding Steelers and Ravens, which means we can all expect some fireworks from those two offenses. Best of luck this week, but I think I need it more right now. I need some Angels on the Gridiron to protect my one-week fantasy football rosters.
I had Calvin Johnson AND Matthew Stafford together in a few leagues, which obviously boosted my numbers. But in those same lineups, I also had some duds. Rob Gronkowski was the victim of Tom Brady’s awful day, and despite putting up 49 points, BenJarvus Green Ellis managed a measly 3.3 points. I was successful in winning most of my heads-up and double-up daily fantasy sports matches, but couldn’t quite break through in the GPP tourneys on FanDuel. I was only 5 points out of the money in the $10 Kickoff, and within 10-15 points of cashing in some others tournaments as well. I’ve tried to stick with the strategy of high upside players in large tournaments, and this was a tough week not to be one of the few who snagged Marvin Jones. It’s unlikely we will see anyone grab FOUR touchdown passes again anytime soon, but when it does happen, I fully intend to have that player on my roster.
Michael Vick has officially earned himself a spot on my “Do not roster” list after coming up limping as usual early in the game on Sunday (at least he made sure he threw a pick first, and for that, I thank him). It will be a cold day in hell the next time I start an Eagles player not named LeSean McCoy or DeSean Jackson, and it might be some time before I consider one of them either. That Chip Kelly offense is atrocious. Meanwhile, in the Pac-12, Oregon is literally unstoppable. Still. You think Kelly is wishing he could go back in time? He may not admit it, but there’s no way he doesn’t dream about Marcus Mariota every time his head hits the pillow.
It has taken me some time to determine which players I can rely on each week, and which ones I need to stay far, far away from. Finding a roster in which 75% of the players can be relied on to put up at least 12-15 points will likely win me most of my heads-up and double-up matches. The key is finding the high upside guys to plug in to the additional slots. Paying top dollar for elite daily fantasy sports wide receivers has been a crapshoot the past few weeks. Demariyus Thomas, DeSean Jackson, Calvin Johnson, and AJ Green have all put up at least one dud in that time span. I’m going to look deeper into the matchups this week and hopefully find some I can exploit. Obviously, the WR position is the most volatile, because if the QB is struggling, chances are your wide receivers aren’t going to produce anywhere near the numbers you would expect of them. With that being said, I have no faith in receivers from Philadelphia, New York Jets, St Louis, or Oakland until further notice. There are a few more teams that are borderline as well, and I’ll only be using their top daily fantasy sports guys at the right price.
QB- Terrelle Pryor vs. PHI - The Eagles defense is second worst in the league against the pass, allowing over 300 yards per game, and 26 points to opposing offenses. I’m not saying Pryor will have a top-5 kind of day, but given that he is a dual threat against a terrible defense, I think that he can greatly exceed the value for his price tag. He should be a cheap play that easily put up 20 or more points.
QB- Tony Romo vs. MIN - Romo at home against a defense that Aaron Rodgers just shredded effortlessly? Yes please. We all know that Romo doesn’t want Dez Bryant yelling at him all game again this week. He shows up in a big way.
RB- Jamal Charles @ BUF - This guy is a PPR machine. Alex Smith’s tendency to check down constantly has really boosted Charles to the top of the charts. I know he will cost a pretty penny, but rushing yards aside, he has had at least 5 catches in 6 of 8 games this year. He is as safe of a play as there is on the board. Expensive, but worth the price. He is the leading rusher AND receiver on this 8-0 team. He IS this offense.
RB- Eddie Lacy vs. CHI - This kid has been incredible the past few weeks, as the Packers have finally established a run game. Last time these guys had a legitimate rushing attack, they won the Super Bowl. This is a dangerous offense, even without Randall Cobb, James Jones, AND Jermichael Finley. Lacy has become the centerpiece of this attack, and I love watching him play. He runs hard every time. You want some drama? Play Lacy, and watch your team skyrocket up the standings on Monday Night Football.
WR- Kenny Stills @ NYJ - The Jets were absolutely dominated last week by a receiver who was third on the depth chart, and only played 18 offensive snaps. Stills is a similar type of player, and Cromartie will likely be putting his focus on Colston, while helping on Graham. Stills has the ability to break out in a big way. Will the Jets let him score four times? No. But from what I saw last week, they aren’t stopping anyone anytime soon. They have a practically non-existent pass rush, and their coverage is suspect at best. I think the team we all saw last week was more of what we can expect from the Jets moving forward.
WR- Jordy Nelson vs. CHI - See Lacy, Eddie. Aaron Rodgers is about as unstoppable as they come, and this is a Chicago team that allowed the Redskins to score 45 points. This defense is in the bottom 10 in passing defense AND rushing defense. I don’t think any team has ever missed one player more than the Bears miss Brian Urlacher right now. They are just awful, and Jordy Nelson has been nothing short of spectacular the past few weeks. He always finds a way to get open, and he has terrific hands. He and Rodgers have an uncanny ability to make plays that don’t seem to be there.
TE- Kyle Rudolph @ DAL - The entire offense in Minnesota is a train-wreck. They are throwing too much with awful QB play, and the best running back in the league is suffering. With that being said, their defense is awful too, which is a main reason that they are airing it out constantly. Dallas will be up early, and I think Rudolph will be a beneficiary of a scared QB (whoever it is this week). I just don’t trust Jennings or Simpson to get it done. I’m ashamed of this endorsement, but I think he can be a cheap play with decent upside.
TE- Jordan Cameron vs. BAL - The Ravens are a mediocre team against Tight Ends, and Cameron is a monster. Jason Campbell was excellent last week, becoming the only QB in eight games this season to throw for multiple TDs against the Chiefs without an INT. He has always been the model of consistency. He may not win you a ton of games, but he certainly won’t be the reason you lose. Anticipating that Josh Gordon will be blanketed all afternoon, Cameron should be the most targeted player for the Browns. He is my favorite play of the day.
D/ST- Colts @ HOU - Case Keenum is an unproven gunslinger that is unlikely to control the tempo of a game. The Colts have bottled up Colin Kaepernick, Russell Wilson, and made life hell for Peyton Manning. This kid is in big trouble. I see the Colts dropping him at least 4-5 times and likely forcing some mistakes. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Keenum channel his inner Matt Schaub and donate six points to the defense.
D/ST- Raiders vs. PHI - This is more of a cheap play hoping to gain value, but they have actually played very well over the past few weeks. They have allowed less than 500 TOTAL yards in the past two weeks to Kansas City and Pittsburgh. Granted, those offenses are anything but elite, but the Eagles have scored 10 points in the past two weeks combined, and this coming against two of the worst defenses in the NFL. I think the Raiders are the type of GPP play that could put you over the top.
I’m excited about this week of daily fantasy sports, and have a lot of plays I’m looking forward to, not just ones I’m settling for. All I need is that small little boost that will push me into the GPP cash. Sunday will be a great day, and Monday will be icing on the cake. I’m pumped to see my name shooting up the leaderboard all weekend. See you at the top.