Propelled by two Cruz missiles, the Texas Rangers are the Texas Rangers again, something all daily fantasy baseball players like!
At least for one game they were as Nelson Cruz led an eight run attack with his two home run, four RBI barrage. We don’t want to take too much credit, but we did call out the Rangers just yesterday in this very column. Furthermore I have it on good authority that manager Ron Washington is an avid daily fantasy baseball enthusiast so you do the math (And yes, by good authority, I mean my ass). Alright, let’s see how good we are and how we can shake the daily fantasy baseball world today. Dare we call for an Emilio Bonifacio home run? Naa…that’s too bold ever for us, but let’s go with Rajai Davis to double his yearly home run total today.
Always Check The Weather
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies 60% chance scattered thunderstorms
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds 40% chance scattered thunderstorms
LA Dodgers @ New York Yankees – 50% chance scattered thunderstorms
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (GM 2)- 60% chance scattered thunderstorms
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets (GM 2) – 50% chance scattered thunderstorms
Weather can be fickle, so make a point to seek out updates as game times approach.
*Make sure to note that both weather and game advice are applicable to the night game of today’s doubleheaders, as we won’t be discussing today’s early games.
The Vegas Factor
Highest Over/Under Totals
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox – 10
Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays – 9.5
Lowest Over/Under Totals
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies – 7
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals – 7
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants – 7
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves – 7
Today’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks
Jason Castro – Jason is 7-15 with two homers in his last four games. His on-base plus slugging percentage vs righties is .873 and its .943 at home.
Buster Posey – Buster is 11-22 in his last five games. He’s 4-9 with two home runs off Andrew Cashner.
Davis Ortiz – Big Papi has a whopping 1.138 on-base plus slugging vs right handed pitchers. He gets to face emergency starter Jake Odorizzi who has yielded 11 earned runs in 12.1 innings pitched this year.
Paul Goldschmidt – Goldy went 2-3 last night including a four-bagger. Nate Eovaldi is his mound opponent tonight as he is making his first appearance of the year.
Howie Kendrick – Howie is 25-52 in June and faces the overachieving Jeremy Bonderman, who is due for a reality check.
Brandon Phillips – Brandon is a solid 9-27 vs the underwhelming Charlie Morton.
Miguel Cabrera – The unquestioned best hitter in the game. He was well worth his price yesterday and I expect the same today.
David Wright – David is 12-22 recently and has a career batting average of .332 vs lefties.
Jhonny Peralta – Thanks to Jhonny’s .424 batting average vs lefties this year, it wouldn’t surprise me if opposing pitcher Zach Britton left the game in a body bag; a swept leg at the very least.
Willie Bloomquist – Willie is 18-44 in June and is an economically priced bat. Recently he’s been batting second, right in front of Paul Goldschmidt.
Giancarlo Stanton – After two more bombs last night, Stanton is 11-28, including four big flys, since returning from the DL.
Jay Bruce – Jay Bruce has homered in three of his previous four games. He’s 6-17 with two round-trippers in his career vs Charlie Morton.
Josh Hamilton – Hamilton gets to face the previously picked on Jeremy Bonderman whom he’s 4-9 with a home run. He homered yesterday so he likely bought himself another start in the two-hole, hitting between Mike Trout and Albert Pujols.
Cliff Lee – In his last four games Cliff is 3-0 with a 2.73 earned run average and 34 strikeouts. Washington is dead last in the league in slugging percentage vs lefties.
Matt Cain – Matt has finally put together back-to-back quality starts totaling 13.2 innings while yielding just one earned run. Last year he shut the Padres down pitching 15 innings, allowing one earned run, and striking out 15 would-be hitters.
Holy variance! When factoring in price and quality (site dependent) one can make an argument for starting around 15 different pitchers. The studs – Cliff Lee, Adam Wainwright, Justin Verlander, Yu Darvish, Mat Latos. Next level – Hyun-Jin Ryu, Jeff Samardzija, Matt Cain, Paul Maholm. Boom or Busts – Ervin Santana, Ubaldo Jimenez, Andrew Cashner. Potential Value – Phil Hughes, Esmil Rogers, Randall Delgado (3,950 on DraftDay vs the Marlins!). All of these pitchers are in play to some degree. It’s safe to say that today, more so than usual, your pitching will go a long way in deciding your daily fantasy baseball fate. Lee and Wainwright feel the safest to us. Justin Verlander appears the most likely to get a W. Hitters – Just like yesterday, all of the front-line Tigers are worth considering today. The same goes for the aforementioned Rangers, Angels, and the Blue Jays righties (Bautista, Encarnacion, and yes, Rajai Davis!). Also consider – Gerardo Parro, Todd Frazier, Eric Hosmer, Joe Mauer, Alex Rios, Adam Dunn, Kendrys Morales. Value Hitters – J.P. Arencibia, Tyler Colvin, John Mayberry, Rickie Weeks, Jason Kubel, Miguel Montero.
Thanks for reading everyone, and good luck in your games today. Feel free to chime in with questions, comments, rants, requests, and general snark.
You can also follow me on Twitter @dean78904 and fire a question/comment my way.