For those daily fantasy baseball players that loaded up on Colorado Rockies last night, you were as baffled as their hitters proved to be versus the season debuting Ross Ohlendorf.
Ohlendorf’s six innings of two hit ball were one of several unexpected daily fantasy baseball performances from pitchers who come with minimal expectations. Most notably was the pitching duel between Jordan Lyles and Jeremy Bonderman that saw the game at 0-0 in the bottom of the eighth inning. More than anything else, this speaks to how bad these offenses can be and reminds us daily fantasy baseball players how Seattle and Houston can be exploited. Moving forward, we have an abbreviated slate of games on tap tonight, five to be precise. Let’s get to it.
Always check the weather!
BOS @ BAL - Scattered strong storms 60% chance.
SF @ PITT - Few showers 40% chance.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks For Today
Matt Wieters – Matt has an .843 on-base plus slugging percentage versus left-handed pitchers this year
Buster Posey - Buster is always a top catcher and faces Charlie Morton in his first start since having Tommy John surgery.
Chris Davis - Broke his mini-homerless slump yesterday and is 5-10 in his career vs Doubrot w/ a home run.
David Ortiz - Faces right-handed pitcher Kevin Gausman who is 0-3 and sports an 8.84 earned run average.
Dustin Pedroia - See David Ortiz
Jurickson Profar - Reasonably priced, faces the overachieving Esmil Rogers, and has been batting at the top of the order more often of late.
Evan Longoria - Homered yesterday and has success vs Ervin Santana – 5-12 w/2 home runs.
Adrian Beltre - I’m picking on Esmil Rogers again as Adrian is in a good spot to hit his 15th home run of the year.
J.J. Hardy - Hardy typically gets moved up to bat third versus lefties thanks to his .882 on-base plus slugging average against them.
Yunel Escobar - A nice salary saver with a solid 7-17 batter versus pitcher against Ervin Santana.
Jacoby Ellsbury - After two more stolen bases last night, he now has 13 in his last seven games.
Andrew McCutchen - 7 for 11 in his last three games versus Matt Cain, who has already surrendered 13 home runs on the year to go with his high earned run average.
Daniel Nava - His .320 batting average and .921 on-base plus slugging percentage versus righties bodes well against the struggling Kevin Gausman.
Cliff Lee - 3-0 with a 1.99 earned run average, .85 walks plus hits per inning pitched, and 33 strikeouts in his last four games.
Yu Darvish - Seven innings pitcheds, two earned runs, and seven strikeouts versus the same Toronto team last game.
You can argue that I’m being a little hypocritical here as on one hand I’m endorsing some players, in part, because of positive batter versus pitcher stats, while at the same time I’m backing both Matt Wieters and J.J. Hardy who are a combined 0-19 versus Felix Doubront. Maybe they are a little risky in a head-to-head format, but I’m not scared to play them in a large field tournament as both traditionally mash lefties. With just five games in play, and a few stud pitchers sprinkled in, the smart money says to pick on the weakest of the starting pitchers tonight. This means that most Rangers, Red Sox, Phillies, and Giants make for justifiable plays. With so few games you are bound to have player overlap, so playing a contrarian pick or two isn’t a bad idea to separate yourself from the pack. Some you may want to consider are Alex Gordon, Billy Butler, Luke Scott, Hunter Pence, Manny Machado, and Starling Marte. If you prefer to save salary on your catcher, Russel Martin looks to be a solid economical option. If you really want to roll the dice, pick a starting pitcher besides Darvish or Lee to load up on the big bats. While they both can be volatile at times, Santana and Cain both have high K potential and may payoff. If salary isn’t an issue then Cliff Lee is my top pitcher of the night. He gets the edge over Darvish thanks to the opponent and a more pitcher friendly environment.