“You think you had a bad daily fantasy baseball day” said the guy who stacked the Colorado Rockies yesterday.
Not one, not two, but three of the Rockies elite bats had to leave the game due to injury. In daily fantasy baseball circles the stud Colorado hitters are essentially the Beatles. With that in mind, you can liken a makeshift Colorado lineup without Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, and Dexter Fowler to that of Ringo Starr’s solo work. Needless to say, this crushed multiple lineups yesterday, and will damage Colorado’s offensive prowess going forward to some degree. Tulowitzki’s injury appears the most serious as he’s already landed on the 15-day disabled list with a broken rib. It appears both Carlos Gonzalez and Dexter Fowler are being considered day-to-day. As far as today, you may see some nice value in the Rockies lineup if they sit out.
Always check the weather!
Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets : few showers – 30% chance
Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers : few showers – 30-40% chance
It looks like there won’t be any major weather issues, but just like checking the lineups, it’s daily fantasy baseball 101 to always consult the radar.
The Vegas Factor
Vegas has two games with an under/over of ten total runs projected to be scored. These games are Philadelphia@Colorado and Toronto@Texas. The way to interpret this as a daily fantasy baseball player is that this is Vegas’s way of saying you might want to have a few hitters in these games as they have the most anticipated runs to be scored. With that in mind, they are advising you to avoid the starting pitchers in these games. As far as the lowest projected run totals, Vegas has two games listed with an under/over of seven total runs scored. These games are San Francisco@Atlanta and Arizona@San Diego. Conversely, this is Vegas’ way of giving an edge to pitching in these games, and telling us to maybe temper hitter expectations a bit. The over/under is a great tool to use and can potentially break a tie when deciding between Player A versus Player B, but by no means should it exclusively make your decision. Just remember, Vegas is pretty smart and knows what it’s doing when setting these lines.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks For Today
Salvador Perez - Salvador carries a nine game hitting streak and a career .352 batting average vs southpaws and he faces the struggling left handed Matt Moore today.
Miguel Montero - 4-6 in his last game, and he is just way too cheap to not at least consider. Plus he is 4-14 vs Eric Stults, with all four hits going for extra bases.
Edwin Encarnacion - Edwin has a nine game hitting streak which includes three homers. He faces Justin Grimm who has yielded 12 earned runs in his last two games.
Billy Butler - Billy’s a career .316 versus lefties, and while facing an early season Cy Young candidate, Matt Moore surrendered fourteen earned runs in his last two games.
Ben Zobrist - In his last seven games Ben is 13-30, including five extra base hits.
Josh Rutledge - Josh should get the call-up and the start for the previously mentioned disabled list-bound Troy Tulowitzki. Josh is economically priced on sites where he is available and hit .348 with two homers and one stolen base in 17 games in Triple-A.
Miguel Cabrera - While Miguel is always a top play, I like him more today than most days. He’s 10-19 with four extra base hits versus Scott Diamond.
Josh Donaldson - Josh is batting .358 vs lefties this year and is 7-14 versus the left-handed Joe Saunders in his career.
Everth Cabrera - Everth is 24-58 in his last thirteen games, including eleven stolen bases. He faces Trevor Cahill who has given up thirteen runs in his last two games.
Jhonny Peralta - Peralta is 23-55 versus left-handed pitchers this year and he gets to face the sub-par Scott Diamond.
Jeff Baker - Jeff is an impressive 17-44 with eight homers versus lefties this year. Additionally Jeff is 6-14 against Mark Buehrle.
Jose Bautista - Eight hits, including three homers in his last five games. Justin Grimm has a 7.78 earned run average in his last three games.
Jay Bruce - Jay is on a 11-27 streak. He’s 8-24 off Kyle Lohse in his career, with 5 extra base hits.
Chris Sale - Chris has a season long 2.38 earned run average. Against the Astros he might lower it, with double digit strikeouts potentially in the forecast.
Kris Medlen - Kris has yet to yield a run this month and sports an overall 2.87 earned run average.
Wrapping It Up
Unless the price difference is massive, I’m going to have a hard time not taking Chris Sale on sites where you only start one pitcher (especially when it comes to head-to-head and double-up games). I really like Medlen as well. He’s responded nicely to the rumored threat of him potentially losing his rotation spot when Brandon Beachy becomes healthy. As far as multiple pitcher sites, here are some other pitchers that can be considered if the price is right – Tommy Milone, Eric Stults, Jose Fernandez, Jake Westbrook (versus Miami), Justin Masterson, Matt Moore (large tournament only), and Madison Bumgarner (large tournament only – opposing Atlanta pitchers have such a huge variance with the Braves propensity to both strike out and homer in bunches). Hitters – Most hitters are in play (for the right price) on Philadelphia, Detroit, Toronto, Texas. Don’t forget to look for potential value in Colorado. Additional plays that may prove to be savvy in a large field tournament - Giancarlo Stanton, Justin Upton, Matt Joyce, Luke Scott, Erick Aybar, David Ortiz, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andrew McCutchen, Joey Votto, Cody Ross, and its always worth noting when Paul Goldschmidt faces a lefty.
Thanks for reading everyone, and good luck in your games tonight. Feel free to chime in with questions, comments, rants, requests, and general snark.
You can also follow me on Twitter @dean78904 and fire a question/comment my way.